Peak?

I am going to go on record and say that as of today, September 16, 2004, things don't improve for President Bush in this campaign. So, according to me, Republicans should enjoy this moment, because I don't think it will last.

Reasons include:
Suddenly strong and crisp messages from Kerry (though who knows how long that will last)
News from Iraq is bad and steadily deteriorating. I really wonder if at this current trajectory if elections will be possible.
Economy does not appear to be poised for an unexpectedly sharp upturn that will significantly impact peoples current conceptions of its performance.
No more one-sided events to boost his and the Republicans message.

Possible reasons that I could be wrong:
Kerry could be worse than Gore in the debates.
Osama Bin Laden could be found.
Terrorist attack on our soil, though this could go either way.
Videotape of Kerry saying, "yeah, I really fooled everyone with that whole purple heart charade."

So that's it. I am obviously so biased that I couldn't even pretend to be objective if I wanted to, and my hopes are obviously intertwined into this prediction, but it is as honest as possible.